Scotland have registered just one win, against bottom placed Italy, and possess the second worse defensive record in this year’s Championship. They can however consider themselves unlucky to lose at home to France last week.
After comfortable wins over Italy and France in Cardiff, Wales are a heavy favourite to finish with a 100 per cent home record at 1/10 in the match betting, with a handicap of -14pts at 10/11. All four of Wales’ tries have come in front of their home fans and they are expected to add to that total, if not double it against Scotland.
George North and Alex Cuthbert lead the betting with each man priced at 13/2 to score the first try and 13/10 to score at anytime. Both players have touched down once in this tournament and Cuthbert also scored a try the last time Wales faced Scotland at home in the Six Nations in 2012. Richard Hibbard scored Wales’ only try in last season’s game and offers a bigger profit at 22/1 to score the first try and 4/1 to score at anytime.
Scotland will feel aggrieved after last week’s loss and may arrive in Wales with a point to prove. A quick start and an early try from Wales could be key in avoiding a close battle. Wales are 4/7 to score first and 2/7 to reach 10 points first. A Wales try to be the first score of the game can be backed at 11/4 with a Wales penalty priced at 6/4.
Fourteen points is a healthy handicap but as Wales showed in parts in the game against France, when they get the ball moving that can put some serious points on the scoreboard.
